Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000733 0.000839 0.000950 0.001077 0.001217 0.001366 0.001536
2024-12-22 0.000564 0.000709 0.000873 0.001072 0.001305 0.001567 0.001883
2024-12-29 0.000471 0.000631 0.000821 0.001061 0.001353 0.001693 0.002116
2025-01-05 0.000405 0.000575 0.000786 0.001062 0.001409 0.001826 0.002357
2025-01-12 0.000348 0.000521 0.000745 0.001048 0.001440 0.001922 0.002552
2025-01-19 0.000299 0.000472 0.000704 0.001028 0.001458 0.002000 0.002722
2025-01-26 0.000273 0.000451 0.000697 0.001050 0.001529 0.002144 0.002977
2025-02-02 0.000249 0.000431 0.000689 0.001067 0.001593 0.002279 0.003222
2025-02-09 0.000219 0.000396 0.000657 0.001050 0.001607 0.002347 0.003380
2025-02-16 0.000191 0.000364 0.000625 0.001029 0.001613 0.002403 0.003522
2025-02-23 0.000176 0.000348 0.000617 0.001041 0.001665 0.002522 0.003749
2025-03-02 0.000161 0.000332 0.000606 0.001047 0.001709 0.002629 0.003963
2025-03-09 0.000139 0.000302 0.000572 0.001018 0.001701 0.002665 0.004081
2025-03-16 0.000120 0.000274 0.000539 0.000989 0.001690 0.002696 0.004194
2025-03-23 0.000108 0.000258 0.000525 0.000986 0.001718 0.002782 0.004383
2025-03-30 0.000097 0.000244 0.000512 0.000985 0.001748 0.002870 0.004578
2025-04-06 0.000086 0.000228 0.000493 0.000973 0.001759 0.002932 0.004734
2025-04-13 0.000075 0.000210 0.000471 0.000953 0.001758 0.002974 0.004863
2025-04-20 0.000071 0.000206 0.000472 0.000974 0.001822 0.003114 0.005135
2025-04-27 0.000066 0.000200 0.000471 0.000991 0.001878 0.003244 0.005396
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000186 0.000452 0.000974 0.001879 0.003289 0.005532
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000172 0.000432 0.000954 0.001874 0.003324 0.005651
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000166 0.000430 0.000965 0.001921 0.003441 0.005897